Tuesday, October 07, 2008

Where to, Abdullah?

Dato Seri Abdullah Ahmad Badawi will make announcement tomorrow if he is seeking to retain the president's post of the Umno.

There are a few possibilities. Firstly, he might call it a day and will retain the prime minister's post until the election of the new Umno president next March. This seems to be the view of most of the Umno top leaders.

Secondly, he might fight on against all odds. Of course, one should not underestimate him. He might have had quietly obtained sufficient promises to nominate him to seek re-appointment by tomorrow. If this was the case, it would be a big blow to Dato Sri Najib Abd Razak and his ambitious followers.

Thirdly, Abdullah might bring 40 Umno MPs, and perhaps some other MPs from the Barisan Nasional component parties, to join Pakatan Rakyat and form a coalition federal government on the condition that he would be retained as Prime Minister for the next 2 to 3 years to carry out his reform in the judiciary, anti-corruption and public delivery system. Thereafter, he would hand over the premiership to Dato Seri Anwar Ibrahim.

It looks weird but it is possible. There would be a few advantages if the Pakatan Rakyat were to accept this offer. Firstly, there would be a peaceful transfer of power from the Barisan Nasional to the Pakatan Rakyat. Thus, there would be no declaration for emergency. Thirdly, all those reforms proposed by him could be carried out with full support from the Pakatan Rakyat MPs as against the Barisan Nasional MPs.

Lastly, Anwar would eventually be made the Prime Minister.

Whereto, Abdullah? It's all up to you.